JCEM: Race-neutral Pediatric Reference Ranges for Bone Mineral Density Predict Prospective Fractures in Childhood

March 2025

Applying new race-neutral reference ranges to test for bone mineral density in children, researchers found that the new range better highlighted potential fracture risk in Black children than race-specific ranges.

From the Abstract:

Race-specific reference ranges for pediatric areal bone mineral density (BMD) are widely used, but the value of race-based clinical algorithms has been questioned. We developed race-neutral pediatric reference ranges for areal BMD and bone mineral apparent density (BMAD) and compared race-specific vs race-neutral Z-scores in their ability to predict prospective fractures.

Race-neutral BMD and BMAD Z-scores were 0.5 to 0.7 SD greater than race-specific Z-scores for Black children but only ∼0.1 SD lower for children from other race/ethnicity groups. Growth and lifestyle factors modified group differences. One SD increase in race-neutral Z-scores was associated with a 12% to 18% reduced risk of fracture.

We present the first race-neutral pediatric reference ranges for BMD and BMAD that are weighted to be representative of the US population and demonstrate that these Z-scores associate with fracture risk. Adoption of these new reference ranges should be considered, with thoughtful implementation for patients previously monitored with race-specific reference ranges, especially among children who identify as Black.